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Market Research and my thoughts on how to do it.
The USA market for electronic alarm equipment is by
far the largest in world. Researchers agree that
even the entire European (CE) market is smaller,
and by reason of its continuing fragmentation and
varying standards and practices, cannot be
considered a single market.
In contrast, the US market displays remarkably
little variation in product requirements and
standards in different states, though such
variations are not entirely absent. A manufacturer
can sell the same product in every part of the US,
using the same marketing approach and techniques.
Such differences as do arise regionally are mainly
limited to the fire equipment market and to
construction differences which make wireless
systems more or less desirable..
Market Size and Growth
A number of estimates exist for market size and
growth. The consensus figure for the total security
equipment market, to dealers, including fire,
intrusion, access and CCTV is around $5 billion to
$6 billion and the total market is growing at
around 5 to 8% per annum. In 1991, 1.8m systems or
upgrades were installed, and this figure had grown
to 3.2 m in 2002. These are not numbers, however, that are routinely tracked in the industry, unlike other electronic industries. The growth in units is
dominated by low-end residential systems. (These
figures include fire, intrusion, access control and
CCTV systems).
In spite of falling crime rates, the public’s
concern about crime continues to rise. This coupled
with steadily falling prices for alarm equipment at
the end user level, has created substantial growth
in the alarm business as a whole. The security
industry, in line with most others, experienced a
slow down in late 2000, disproving the theory that security is not affected by the economy in general. However, the sad events of September 11 and the focus on homeland security ever since has generated growth for the security industry ever since.
Market Drivers
While the natural assumption about the security
market is that the crime rate is the main driver,
this is most certainly not the case in the US in
recent years. In fact, crime rates have been
falling for some years. The FBI reported 1,336
burglaries per 100,000 inhabitants in 1986, falling to 729 in 2006. One would expect the public to have
noticed such a marked reduction. In addition, the
market does not exhibit the strong regional
variations that would be the case if crime rates
drove the market (crime rates vary by up to a
factor of six from state to state).
In fact the commercial market has been driven in
recent years by three major factors, two of them
closely linked.
-
The marketing efforts of the national companies
-
Falling prices for alarm equipment
-
The need to protect the corporation from
liability
This last factor is primordial in the US, and a
phenomenon on a scale unknown in other countries.
The legal environment, in particular, the tort laws
problem, has given rise to an ultra defensive
mentality in the upper management of every
corporation. They are obliged to consider not only
property protection and life safety as required by
insurance companies and/or legislation, but also
the risk of being sued for frighteningly large sums
of money:
-
By a member of the public, injured on the
premises, or by an employee
-
By an employee injured, attacked or even just
distressed by an intruder or vandal
This has changed the security market substantially
in recent years. Strong growth has been created in
the access control, and particularly, the CCTV
market by this factor. This has been coupled with
falling prices, and improving capabilities in the
equipment, further boosting growth in unit sales in
these markets. At the same time the intrusion
market has not grown at anything like these rates
in dollar terms. The fire systems market has
continued its very steady growth, boosted a little
in recent years by the Americans with Disabilities
Act (ADA), which has prompted some additional
retrofit business. Faced with a limited budget, the
security director will put his money into access
control and CCTV in preference to intrusion, for
the simple reason that these systems can be seen to
be protecting people, while the intrusion system
protects only property.
Finding out more
The classic way for a company to start
investigating a new market is to buy a market
research study. There are half a dozen studies
available on the US security market as well as some
specialized ones covering access control, fire
equipment and home automation. Most of these
studies are of limited value to a new entrant in my
view. Only a couple of the research firms actually
have enough industry experience to properly
formulate a research study. The others do not
understand the subtleties of the market - the
distinction between a dealer and a systems
integrator; the terms dealers use to define
equipment; the challenge of adding up sales numbers
when many of your respondents are branches of a
national company. As a result, the data in these
studies is often wildly inaccurate.
For a company that has already made the decision to
enter the US market, I recommend doing much more
specific market research than is available in the
general market studies. The key piece of
information needed for the market entry decision is
whether or not the product will be acceptable to
the market. This cannot be deduced from any
published data or generalized research. Some
specific research is needed.
I absolutely do not recommend taking a booth at a
trade show as a means of assessing a new market,
though I seem to be swimming against the tide on
this one - it seems to be the most common first
step for new entrants. I believe that it is one of
the most inefficient and inaccurate ways to
determine whether or not your product will succeed.
If you would like a fuller explanation of this
view, email me for more information.
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